Sunday, May 18, 2014

What’s cooking in economy? – GST



What’s cooking in economy? – GST


What is GST?
GST = GOODS AND SERVICES TAX

Currently, in India indirect taxes are collected by way of VAT, Service tax, Securities Transaction Tax, centrally levied excise duty etc. Once GST is implemented there will be uniform rate of tax on all products and services bought in India, collected by a sole authority. The rate is expected to be 15-16%, which is lower than current net tax levied on an average product, but is expected to increase the number of tax payers, thus increase government’s revenue and better control.

Why is it under focus now?
GST has been opposed by many leaders of states from across the nation including Mr. Modi, as it would reduce the state revenue. Now that Mr. Modi is speaking of having all states into confidence in decision making process, his development agenda that requires huge funds flow and the frequent hints supplied during the election campaigning including a point in BJP’s manifesto, the GST issue has come under focus.

What will be the effect on markets?
Markets would happily welcome the GST implementation, due to below benefits it offers:

1.    GST would be collected at point of sale on manufacturing cost from the end consumer. This will reduce the overall price a buyer pays, thus increasing national savings.

2.    Lower prices will also increase consumption/demand, which will increase top line (sales) for manufacturers.

3.    This will also bring down the consumer level inflation.

4.    This will increase the government revenue (expected increase $ 15 Bn per year), as GST is structured to cover a larger base.

Which sectors will benefit the most?
Banking, FMCG, Consumer Durables, PSU, Healthcare, Media and Entertainment Etc.

Trivia:
- India might be implementing dual GST system – Central GST and State GST

- Once GST is implemented the overall indirect tax of around 20% that a retail consumer is paying currently, would reduce to on an average 15%

- GST may not be applied on few products like alcohol, tobacco, petroleum etc.

-  In year 2000, it was Mr. A B Vajpayee, the then Prime Minister who initiated the discussion on implementing GST in India. Key persons in the process since then include, Mr. Asim Dasgupta, P Chidambaram, Mr. Pranab Mukherjee and now Mr. Narendra Modi and the new finance minister

-   Key committee – Empowered Committee of State Ministers,

-   More than 140 countries in the world have GST system

Latest News:
Mr. Modi’s quotes on GST in the last few days: “BJP from the very first day is in favour of GST. GST is needed. We are in favour of GST. We need to prepare for it in advance. When Pranab Mukherjee was Finance Minister I had a detailed discussion with him. The success of GST depends not merely on what law we bring in Parliament but how much we strengthen the information technology. Unless and until you bring the IT network, GST is impossible. Till date the government of India has not been able to do it. Centre needs to work in partnership with states. Centre should not differentiate between small and large states. If a law results in loss of state, it won’t work. States should be taken into confidence. It was their (UPA government) responsibility, they did not do it, we will do it”. The BJP manifesto too had talked about implementation of the GST by “bringing on board all state governments in adopting the GST, addressing all their concerns.”

Keep an eye on this, could be one of the key achievement of Modi Sarkar…..

Author is a Faculty in Finance and a PFP Consultant
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